Global Markets & Fixed Income
Morning brief · Overnight + Asia — updated Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 7:00 AM (Europe/London).
Top Story
Asia rallies on chip strength as US yields sit high into the day ahead
Nikkei, Topix and Kospi all climbed overnight on semiconductor strength and earnings optimism, even as US Treasury yields hold elevated with the 10Y at 4.70% and the 30Y at 5.24%. Risk appetite in equities is coexisting with still-high government borrowing costs, a tension worth watching.
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News Digest
The full brief, split by asset type.
Fixed Income — your focus
US 10Y at 4.70%, 30Y at 5.24% — long end stays rich in yield
US government bond yields remain elevated, with the benchmark 10-year at 4.70% and the 30-year at 5.24% as of the latest close. The steep gap between the two shows a positively sloped long end of the curve.
Remember the core rule: bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. When yields are high like this, existing bonds with lower coupons are worth less, so their prices have already fallen. Beginners often see higher long-term yields (the 30Y above the 10Y) as the market demanding extra compensation for lending money for longer — that's 'term premium.' Longer bonds also have more 'duration,' meaning their prices swing more for each move in yield, so the 30Y is the most sensitive part of the market.
US investment-grade spreads hold tight at 79bp
The option-adjusted spread on US investment-grade corporate bonds sits at just 79 basis points, a historically tight level that signals calm credit conditions and strong demand for corporate debt.
A 'spread' is the extra yield a company pays over a safe government bond to compensate you for default risk. When spreads are tight (small, like 79bp), it typically means investors are relaxed about credit risk and eager to buy — which pushes corporate bond prices up. Beginners should note that tight spreads leave little cushion: if sentiment sours, spreads can 'widen' quickly, pushing corporate bond prices down even if government yields don't move.
CLO exposure becomes the next ETF push amid rate uncertainty
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) are being packaged into ETFs as investors hunt for floating-rate income while the path of interest rates stays uncertain.
CLOs are bundles of corporate loans that usually pay a floating rate, so their income rises and falls with short-term rates. Beginners often like floating-rate assets when rate direction is unclear because they carry very little 'duration' — meaning their price barely moves when yields change, unlike a fixed-coupon long bond. The trade-off is credit risk: you're lending to riskier borrowers, so you earn a wider spread in exchange for taking on more default risk.
BoJ July producer prices released; balance-sheet accounts updated
The Bank of Japan published its July Corporate Goods Price Index (producer prices) and its latest central-bank accounts, key inputs for the inflation outlook that drives Japanese government bond yields.
Producer prices are an early read on inflation pressure. If they run hot, traders start to expect the BoJ to keep tightening, which pushes JGB yields up and their prices down. This matters globally through the 'carry trade': for years investors borrowed cheaply in yen to buy higher-yielding bonds abroad. As Japanese yields rise, that trade becomes less attractive, and unwinding it can ripple into US and European bond markets too.
Bank of America to take up to 49.9% of India's Jio Credit for ~$1.9B
Bank of America agreed to buy a stake of up to 49.9% in Jio Credit for roughly $1.9 billion, a large cross-border push into Indian consumer and corporate lending.
Deals like this expand a lender's credit book, which bond investors watch closely. When a bank grows into new lending, rating agencies assess whether the added risk changes its creditworthiness — a factor that can move the bank's own bond spreads. For beginners: a stronger, more diversified lender may see tighter spreads (cheaper borrowing), while aggressive risk-taking can widen them.
Central Banks & Policy
ECB reportedly leans toward allowing UniCredit's bid for Commerzbank
A report says the ECB, in its supervisory role, is inclined to permit UniCredit's pursuit of Commerzbank — a potentially landmark European bank merger. The ECB deposit rate currently sits at 2.25%.
NZ dollar slips as RBNZ inflation-expectations survey drops
The New Zealand dollar drifted lower after the RBNZ's survey showed inflation expectations falling from the prior reading, softening the outlook for policy.
BoJ data flow continues with producer prices and balance sheet
The Bank of Japan released July producer-price data and updated central-bank accounts, keeping focus on how quickly Japan's inflation and policy normalization proceed.
Equities & Global Markets
Nikkei, Topix and Kospi rally on chip strength
Asian equity benchmarks all advanced overnight, led by semiconductors and earnings optimism, extending the AI-driven momentum in tech.
Wall Street endorses Nvidia's Jensen Huang's 'big concept' for AI
Analysts backed Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's latest AI vision, as the multi-year build-out — funded by record tech equity and debt issuance — enters a new phase.
After-hours movers: Cisco, Jack in the Box, Cerebras, StubHub
Several US names posted large post-market moves on earnings, keeping the reporting season in focus for the day ahead.
Asia & China
EVs dominate China's July car market
China Passenger Car Association data showed new-energy vehicle penetration rising in July, with Tesla's Model Y remaining popular among top-selling models.
Chinese firm tops Micron and Kioxia in NAND shipments
Counterpoint Research found a Chinese company has overtaken Micron and Kioxia in NAND memory-chip shipments, as AI demand lifts the broader memory segment.
Oil eases on reported UAE–Iran asset transfer
Crude prices softened during the Asian session following reports of a UAE–Iran asset transfer, easing some geopolitical risk premium.
UK Fixed Income — Gilts & BoE
BoE publishes April 2026 FX turnover survey
The Bank of England released results of the semi-annual FX Joint Standing Committee turnover survey covering April 2026, with 25 UK-active institutions participating — a read on the plumbing of London's markets rather than a policy signal.
This is market-structure data, not a rate decision, so gilt yields rarely react directly to it. But it's useful context for beginners: London is a huge hub for currency and rates trading, and healthy turnover means it's easy to buy and sell — 'liquidity.' Good liquidity keeps the gap between buy and sell prices (the bid-ask spread) small, which lowers trading costs for anyone dealing in UK gilts and helps yields reflect fundamentals rather than illiquidity.
UK gilts take cues from elevated global yields
With US Treasury yields sitting high (10Y at 4.70%, 30Y at 5.24%), UK gilts remain sensitive to the global backdrop of firm government borrowing costs and lingering rate uncertainty.
Bond markets are connected worldwide: when US and European yields rise, UK gilt yields often drift up too, because global investors compare returns across countries. Higher yields mean lower prices on existing gilts, and longer-dated gilts (with more duration) fall the most. For a beginner, the takeaway is that you don't only watch the Bank of England — moves in Treasuries and Bunds can push gilt prices around even on a quiet UK news day.
Bonds & Rates
Treasury yields, policy rates, credit spreads and bond fund prices.
Government bond yields
Policy rates & credit spreads
Bond prices — funds & ETFs
Oil & Energy
The whole energy complex — crude, refined products, gas and energy funds.
Crude benchmarks
Refined products & gas
Energy funds
Equities
Global and US index levels.
Index levels
My Portfolio
The two positions you actually hold.