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Global Markets & Fixed Income

Morning brief · Overnight + Asia — updated Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 7:00 AM (Europe/London).

Top Story

Driving everything

Asia rallies on chip strength as US yields sit high into the day ahead

Nikkei, Topix and Kospi all climbed overnight on semiconductor strength and earnings optimism, even as US Treasury yields hold elevated with the 10Y at 4.70% and the 30Y at 5.24%. Risk appetite in equities is coexisting with still-high government borrowing costs, a tension worth watching.

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Where to look next

News Digest

The full brief, split by asset type.

Fixed Income — your focus

First, the one rule that explains everything below: a bond's price and its yield move in opposite directions. When yields go up, the price of bonds you already own goes down (and vice-versa). Longer-dated bonds move more — that sensitivity is called duration.
Rates · US Treasuries

US 10Y at 4.70%, 30Y at 5.24% — long end stays rich in yield

US government bond yields remain elevated, with the benchmark 10-year at 4.70% and the 30-year at 5.24% as of the latest close. The steep gap between the two shows a positively sloped long end of the curve.

How traders might react & why

Remember the core rule: bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. When yields are high like this, existing bonds with lower coupons are worth less, so their prices have already fallen. Beginners often see higher long-term yields (the 30Y above the 10Y) as the market demanding extra compensation for lending money for longer — that's 'term premium.' Longer bonds also have more 'duration,' meaning their prices swing more for each move in yield, so the 30Y is the most sensitive part of the market.

Credit · Investment Grade

US investment-grade spreads hold tight at 79bp

The option-adjusted spread on US investment-grade corporate bonds sits at just 79 basis points, a historically tight level that signals calm credit conditions and strong demand for corporate debt.

How traders might react & why

A 'spread' is the extra yield a company pays over a safe government bond to compensate you for default risk. When spreads are tight (small, like 79bp), it typically means investors are relaxed about credit risk and eager to buy — which pushes corporate bond prices up. Beginners should note that tight spreads leave little cushion: if sentiment sours, spreads can 'widen' quickly, pushing corporate bond prices down even if government yields don't move.

Credit · Structured

CLO exposure becomes the next ETF push amid rate uncertainty

Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) are being packaged into ETFs as investors hunt for floating-rate income while the path of interest rates stays uncertain.

How traders might react & why

CLOs are bundles of corporate loans that usually pay a floating rate, so their income rises and falls with short-term rates. Beginners often like floating-rate assets when rate direction is unclear because they carry very little 'duration' — meaning their price barely moves when yields change, unlike a fixed-coupon long bond. The trade-off is credit risk: you're lending to riskier borrowers, so you earn a wider spread in exchange for taking on more default risk.

Rates · Japan (JGBs)

BoJ July producer prices released; balance-sheet accounts updated

The Bank of Japan published its July Corporate Goods Price Index (producer prices) and its latest central-bank accounts, key inputs for the inflation outlook that drives Japanese government bond yields.

How traders might react & why

Producer prices are an early read on inflation pressure. If they run hot, traders start to expect the BoJ to keep tightening, which pushes JGB yields up and their prices down. This matters globally through the 'carry trade': for years investors borrowed cheaply in yen to buy higher-yielding bonds abroad. As Japanese yields rise, that trade becomes less attractive, and unwinding it can ripple into US and European bond markets too.

Credit · Financials

Bank of America to take up to 49.9% of India's Jio Credit for ~$1.9B

Bank of America agreed to buy a stake of up to 49.9% in Jio Credit for roughly $1.9 billion, a large cross-border push into Indian consumer and corporate lending.

How traders might react & why

Deals like this expand a lender's credit book, which bond investors watch closely. When a bank grows into new lending, rating agencies assess whether the added risk changes its creditworthiness — a factor that can move the bank's own bond spreads. For beginners: a stronger, more diversified lender may see tighter spreads (cheaper borrowing), while aggressive risk-taking can widen them.

Central Banks & Policy

ECB

ECB reportedly leans toward allowing UniCredit's bid for Commerzbank

A report says the ECB, in its supervisory role, is inclined to permit UniCredit's pursuit of Commerzbank — a potentially landmark European bank merger. The ECB deposit rate currently sits at 2.25%.

RBNZ

NZ dollar slips as RBNZ inflation-expectations survey drops

The New Zealand dollar drifted lower after the RBNZ's survey showed inflation expectations falling from the prior reading, softening the outlook for policy.

BoJ

BoJ data flow continues with producer prices and balance sheet

The Bank of Japan released July producer-price data and updated central-bank accounts, keeping focus on how quickly Japan's inflation and policy normalization proceed.

Equities & Global Markets

Risk

Nikkei, Topix and Kospi rally on chip strength

Asian equity benchmarks all advanced overnight, led by semiconductors and earnings optimism, extending the AI-driven momentum in tech.

Tech

Wall Street endorses Nvidia's Jensen Huang's 'big concept' for AI

Analysts backed Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's latest AI vision, as the multi-year build-out — funded by record tech equity and debt issuance — enters a new phase.

Earnings

After-hours movers: Cisco, Jack in the Box, Cerebras, StubHub

Several US names posted large post-market moves on earnings, keeping the reporting season in focus for the day ahead.

Asia & China

China · Autos

EVs dominate China's July car market

China Passenger Car Association data showed new-energy vehicle penetration rising in July, with Tesla's Model Y remaining popular among top-selling models.

China · Semis

Chinese firm tops Micron and Kioxia in NAND shipments

Counterpoint Research found a Chinese company has overtaken Micron and Kioxia in NAND memory-chip shipments, as AI demand lifts the broader memory segment.

Commodities

Oil eases on reported UAE–Iran asset transfer

Crude prices softened during the Asian session following reports of a UAE–Iran asset transfer, easing some geopolitical risk premium.

UK Fixed Income — Gilts & BoE

Gilts · BoE

BoE publishes April 2026 FX turnover survey

The Bank of England released results of the semi-annual FX Joint Standing Committee turnover survey covering April 2026, with 25 UK-active institutions participating — a read on the plumbing of London's markets rather than a policy signal.

How traders might react & why

This is market-structure data, not a rate decision, so gilt yields rarely react directly to it. But it's useful context for beginners: London is a huge hub for currency and rates trading, and healthy turnover means it's easy to buy and sell — 'liquidity.' Good liquidity keeps the gap between buy and sell prices (the bid-ask spread) small, which lowers trading costs for anyone dealing in UK gilts and helps yields reflect fundamentals rather than illiquidity.

Gilts · Global rates

UK gilts take cues from elevated global yields

With US Treasury yields sitting high (10Y at 4.70%, 30Y at 5.24%), UK gilts remain sensitive to the global backdrop of firm government borrowing costs and lingering rate uncertainty.

How traders might react & why

Bond markets are connected worldwide: when US and European yields rise, UK gilt yields often drift up too, because global investors compare returns across countries. Higher yields mean lower prices on existing gilts, and longer-dated gilts (with more duration) fall the most. For a beginner, the takeaway is that you don't only watch the Bank of England — moves in Treasuries and Bunds can push gilt prices around even on a quiet UK news day.

Bonds & Rates

Treasury yields, policy rates, credit spreads and bond fund prices.

Government bond yields

What a bond pays you if you hold it to maturity. Moves are in basis points (1 bp = 0.01%) — and remember, a higher yield means a lower price for bonds you already own. Prices as of Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 6:03 AM · refreshed 3× daily.
US 3M Bill
3.71%
▼ -2 bp
US 5Y Treasury
4.38%
▼ -1 bp
US 10Y Treasury
4.68%
▼ -0 bp
US 30Y Treasury
5.25%
▲ +1 bp

Policy rates & credit spreads

Verified levels behind this brief (FRED / official sources), as of Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 7:00 AM.
Fed Funds (upper)
3.75%
policy rate
ECB Deposit Rate
2.25%
policy rate
US IG OAS
79 bp
spreads tight

Bond prices — funds & ETFs

The actual price of a diversified basket of bonds, which is what a bond position is worth day to day. Longer-dated baskets (TLT) swing most when yields move. Prices as of Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 6:03 AM · refreshed 3× daily.
1–3Y Treasuries (SHY)
$81.92
▲ +0.06%
7–10Y Treasuries (IEF)
$92.96
▲ +0.10%
20Y+ Treasuries (TLT)
$82.11
▼ -0.10%
US Aggregate (AGG)
$97.43
▲ +0.11%
TIPS · inflation (TIP)
$106.92
▲ +0.03%
IG corporates (LQD)
$106.12
▲ +0.12%
High yield (HYG)
$79.61
▲ +0.13%
UK gilts (IGLT.L)
GBP 9.63
▲ +0.10%
US 10Y Treasury yield
4.68% ▼ -0 bp
3mo range · 4.37%–4.74%

Oil & Energy

The whole energy complex — crude, refined products, gas and energy funds.

Crude benchmarks

Brent is the global seaborne benchmark; WTI is the US one. The gap between them tells you how tight US supply is versus the rest of the world. Prices as of Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 6:03 AM · refreshed 3× daily.
Brent Crude
$88.93
▼ -0.06%
WTI Crude
$83.08
▼ -0.23%

Refined products & gas

What crude turns into — these feed pump prices, diesel costs and heating bills, so they drive the inflation numbers central banks react to.
Gasoline RBOB ($/gal)
$2.89
▼ -8.27%
Heating oil ($/gal)
$4.17
▼ -3.21%
Natural gas ($/MMBtu)
$2.79
▼ -0.64%

Energy funds

Tradeable proxies for the barrel and for energy equities.
WTI fund (USO)
$127.30
▼ -0.24%
Brent fund (BNO)
$50.72
▼ -0.47%
Energy sector (XLE)
$61.03
▲ +0.16%
Brent Crude
$88.93 ▼ -0.06%
3mo range · $71.57–$112.10

Equities

Global and US index levels.

Index levels

Prices as of Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 6:03 AM · refreshed 3× daily.
S&P 500
7,748.50
▲ +0.26%
Dow Jones
53,770.27
▼ -0.04%
Nasdaq Composite
26,588.49
▲ +0.54%
Nasdaq-100
29,742.60
▲ +0.74%
PHLX Semis (SOX)
12,399.38
▲ +2.49%

My Portfolio

The two positions you actually hold.

Your positions

Prices as of Thu, Aug 13, 2026 · 6:03 AM · refreshed 3× daily.
VanEck Quantum Computing UCITS ETF
$29.96
▲ +0.63%
HGRAF
$4.57
▼ -4.99%
VanEck Quantum Computing UCITS ETF (QNTM.L)
$29.96 ▲ +0.63%
3mo range · $26.47–$34.65
HGRAF
$4.57 ▼ -4.99%
3mo range · $3.11–$5.13